{"id":419,"date":"2026-06-23T22:16:04","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T22:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atlaslivingmedia.com\/?p=419"},"modified":"2026-06-23T22:16:04","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T22:16:04","slug":"requiem-for-alan-greenspan-the-bubble-master","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atlaslivingmedia.com\/?p=419","title":{"rendered":"Requiem for Alan Greenspan the Bubble Master"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Alan Greenspan, an early follower of Ayn Rand who rose through Republican political circles to become chair of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006, has died at the age of 100. In this, he matched fellow ruling-class ghoul Henry Kissinger, though it must be conceded that Kissinger had more blood on his hands than Greenspan, whose major crimes were in economic management, not mass murder. But both were treated with undeserved admiration in life and death. Let\u2019s see what we can do about correcting Greenspan\u2019s record.<\/p>\n

Read more Rockwell Kent\u2019s View From Greenland<\/a><\/p>\n

As a young economic consultant in New York in the late 1950s, Greenspan fell into wacko libertarian Rand\u2019s circle and began to preach her gospel: Markets are great; government stinks; winners should be rewarded generously, and losers punished with no pity. When her massive novel Atlas Shrugged<\/em> was published to mostly bad reviews in 1957, Greenspan defended it in a letter to The New York Times<\/em> as \u201ca celebration of life and happiness.\u201d But while her worldview might seem harsh to the uninitiated, \u201cjustice is unrelenting,\u201d and those who won\u2019t get with the free-market program have only themselves to blame if they fail to prosper. As Greenspan put it, \u201cParasites who persistently avoid either purpose or reason perish as they should.\u201d<\/p>\n

In his days with the cult, he denounced the creation of the Fed, an institution he would later head for longer than anyone else, as a \u201chistoric disaster,\u201d because it removed the discipline of the gold standard. The beauty of gold is that it puts severe limits on the growth of money and credit, thereby putting a limit on speculative bubbles of the sort he would later preside over.<\/p>\n

Greenspan soon found his way into Republican politics, trying to push Richard Nixon in a libertarian direction that Nixon wasn\u2019t too keen on because it would have been politically suicidal. It wasn\u2019t an ideal role for the Randian in him, but the Rand circle itself was falling apart, and he\u2019d discovered that counseling a president \u201ccould be an addictive habit,\u201d as his biographer Sebastian Mallaby put it.<\/p>\n

Nixon nominated him to be his chief economic adviser in 1974, just before his resignation. Greenspan\u2019s confirmation hearings were stormy, given his history of libertarian provocations, but he won over skeptical senators, including Joe Biden, who found him sharp and honest despite his politics. By the time Greenspan was confirmed and sworn in, Nixon had resigned and Gerald Ford was president. One of the few guests at the swearing-in was Ayn Rand.<\/p>\n

Enjoying his taste of power, Greenspan accommodated himself to the inevitable compromises of political life. Although he would later view his Randian period as a youthful phase, he never dropped his faith in what Ronald Reagan liked to call \u201cthe magic of the marketplace.\u201d<\/p>\n

After Ford left office, Greenspan went back to the economic consulting firm he\u2019d headed since 1955; he\u2019d stay there until Reagan appointed him chair of the Fed in 1987. Two months after he took charge at the Fed, the stock market staged one of the greatest crashes in history. Greenspan ignored the Randian scripture and instead issued a that would become the canonical response to a financial crisis in the ensuing decades: \u201cThe Federal Reserve, consistent with its responsibilities as the nation\u2019s central bank, affirmed today its readiness to serve as a source of liquidity to support the economic and financial system.\u201d In other words, we\u2019ll pump money into the system to keep things from imploding. This is the very opposite of the gold standard Greenspan once touted, but he had a real economy to run. Markets stabilized, and after a few months it seemed as if almost nothing had happened. The reaction gave rise to a new Wall Street aphorism: \u201cbailouts are bullish,\u201d an aphorism whose truth would be proved many times over the next four decades.<\/p>\n

Read more Trump\u2019s Reflecting Pool Renovations Are a Total Disaster<\/a><\/p>\n

Unlike under his predecessor, Paul Volcker, Greenspan\u2019s Fed was not a regime of austerity, characterized by tight money and high unemployment. The average unemployment rate during Greenspan\u2019s tenure was more than two percentage points lower than it was under Volcker; the maximum was three points lower. Contradicting orthodoxy, Greenspan didn\u2019t raise interest rates to fight inflationary pressures as the unemployment rate fell below 5 percent in the late 1990s; he believed that the technological revolution had kicked up productivity growth to the point where inflation was no longer a danger. Also, in his view, high unemployment wasn\u2019t necessary to scare the working class into submission; years of downsizings had produced a fear of job loss that left workers feeling deeply insecure \u201cdespite the tightest labor markets in decades,\u201d as he put it in a July 2000 speech. Workers felt like the unemployment rate was a couple of points higher than the actual rate of 4 percent, and that was fine with him since it kept wages down.<\/p>\n

But that easy-money policy had encouraged inflation of another kind, in stock prices. The market reached heights not seen since the 1920s and then some. (We\u2019ve since left those records way behind.) From the low after the 1987 crash to the eventual high in March 2000, the market rose almost 450 percent, a run with few historical precedents. Along the way, Greenspan did worry that maybe things were getting out of hand. In a 1996 speech, he famously wondered if an \u201cirrational exuberance\u201d had taken things over, but Wall Street\u2014which had fallen in love with the exuberance, irrational or not\u2014did not receive his remarks well and he didn\u2019t bring up the subject again for years. The market would double from the day of that speech until its 2000 peak.<\/p>\n

Greenspan and his irrationally exuberant stock market were central to the giddy triumphalism of the Clinton era. For a few magical years, it seemed like recessions and even class conflict were things of the past. But they weren\u2019t. The bubble burst, as bubbles always do, and while a classic depression didn\u2019t take hold thanks to Greenspan\u2019s policy of extended low interest rates, neither did prosperity. Following the brief recession in 2001, there was a \u201cjobless recovery\u201d that still felt like a recession to most people.<\/p>\n

Low interest rates did, however, encourage a new bubble, this time in housing. House prices, which had been rising gently in the late 1990s, showed no ill effects from the stock market\u2019s troubles\u2014in fact, their rise would soon accelerate to a highly exuberant pace. Throughout, Greenspan showed little concern. As he said in a 2004 speech, while a number of analysts have worried that \u201cthe extended period of low interest rates is spawning a bubble in housing prices in the United States that will, at some point, implode,\u201d this did \u201cnot seem the most probable outcome,\u201d because \u201cnominal house prices in the aggregate have rarely fallen and certainly not by very much.\u201d He revised his thinking somewhat in June 2005, conceding that while there was no \u201cbubble\u201d proper, there were \u201csigns of froth in some local markets where home prices seem to have risen to unsustainable levels.\u201d Froth, as every beer drinker knows, is a collection of small bubbles, so this may have been a distinction without a difference.<\/p>\n

The subsequent crash in house prices and the mortgage bonds that made the boom possible gave rise to the financial crisis of 2008 and the worst recession since the 1930s. It also threw Greenspan into an intellectual crisis. He simply could not believe markets could have been so wrong, that bankers would have made so many bad loans and investors made so many bad investments. Of course, those things happen, which is why the financial sector had historically been highly supervised and regulated, but Greenspan enthusiastically promoted the deregulation that characterized the era of high neoliberalism. When confronted by Representative Henry Waxman at a hearing on the financial crisis, Greenspan waffled some about whether he\u2019d been wrong about deregulation but conceded that he\u2019d been very \u201cdistressed\u201d by discovering \u201ca flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works, so to speak\u2026. I was shocked, because I had been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.\u201d Until it didn\u2019t.<\/p>\n

Greenspan wasn\u2019t alone in this \u201cshocking\u201d discovery. But the insight didn\u2019t last and it was back to super-low interest rates and fresh bubbles. House prices went on a tear in the years after the pandemic and the stock market has been a hotbed of exuberance for most of the last 15 years. Meanwhile, real economic problems, like insecurity and pinched living standards, were ignored. No one in public life thinks about how to keep unemployment low and workers secure without encouraging the growth of bubbles, which contribute greatly to increased wealth inequality and then produce widespread damage when they inevitably burst.<\/p>\n

Read more We Can\u2019t Let the Good Vibes Stop Us From Demanding More of Mamdani<\/a><\/p>\n

Greenspan\u2019s model lives on.<\/p>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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